# Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Average Sale Price Exceeds Median by $67,000

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu shows a $67,000 spread between its average and median sale prices as of late 2026. This gap signals a market with significant high-value outliers affecting the mean.

Published 2026-10-11. Evidence snapshot 2026-10-11.

## Market summary

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu shows a $67,000 spread between its average and median sale prices as of late 2026. This gap signals a market with significant high-value outliers affecting the mean.

## Central finding

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu's average sale price of $497,005 exceeds its median single-family home price of $430,000 by $67,000, indicating a right-skewed distribution where high-value transactions pull the mean above the midpoint. Sources:
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)
[OACIQ Broker Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu – CourtiConnect](https://courticonnect.ca/en/broker-saint-jean-sur-richelieu)

## Average-Median Price Gap Reveals Market Skew

WOWA.ca reported an average sold price of $497,005 for all property types in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu as of August 7, 2026. CourtiConnect cited a median single-family home price of $430,000 as of September 20, 2026. The $67,000 difference indicates that a subset of higher-priced transactions elevates the mean well above the typical sale.

This structural gap matters because it separates the experience of most buyers from the headline average. A household targeting the median faces a different affordability calculation than one interpreting the average as representative. The skew suggests limited ultra-luxury inventory but enough high-value sales to distort central tendency measures. Sources:
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)
[OACIQ Broker Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu – CourtiConnect](https://courticonnect.ca/en/broker-saint-jean-sur-richelieu)

## The strongest counter-case

The WOWA report notes a 1.5% quarterly decrease in the average sold price, suggesting recent softening that may narrow the gap between average and median prices if high-end sales slow further. Sources:
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)

## Next 3 months, Q1 2027

Prices: flat. flat Why: Stable financing costs and existing price dispersion suggest continued moderate demand for mid-range homes. Buyers: wait. Potential for further negotiation as high-end sales cool; no urgency given flat-to-declining average prices. Sellers: either way. Listings should emphasize value relative to Montreal; timing less critical than pricing accuracy. Watch: Five-year bond yield sustained above 4.0% or new provincial housing policy announcements. Confidence: moderate. Sources:
[Le Guide loisirs et le magazine Complicité disponibles dès le 28 février - Ville de Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu](https://sjsr.ca/communiques/le-guide-loisirs-et-le-magazine-complicite-disponibles-des-le-28-fevrier/)
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)

## Next 6 months, Q2 2027

Prices: flat. flat Why: If supply remains constrained while demand holds, median prices may stabilize even as average prices drift lower from fewer luxury sales. Buyers: wait. Median stability suggests entry-level and mid-range buyers face predictable pricing; avoid chasing outlier listings. Sellers: wait. Market cooling risk from potential rate increases makes early listing less advantageous than waiting for clearer demand signals. Watch: Inventory buildup exceeding 6 months of supply or consecutive quarterly median price declines. Confidence: low. Sources:
[Le Guide loisirs et le magazine Complicité disponibles dès le 28 février - Ville de Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu](https://sjsr.ca/communiques/le-guide-loisirs-et-le-magazine-complicite-disponibles-des-le-28-fevrier/)
[OACIQ Broker Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu – CourtiConnect](https://courticonnect.ca/en/broker-saint-jean-sur-richelieu)

## Next 12 months, Q4 2027

Prices: falling. falling Why: Prolonged rate uncertainty and trade tensions could erode buyer purchasing power, compressing the average-median gap as high-end activity slows. Buyers: wait. Extended uncertainty favors patient buyers who can negotiate on overpriced listings; cash offers gain leverage. Sellers: wait. Downward pressure on both average and median prices likely if macro conditions deteriorate; premature listing risks discounting. Watch: Average sale price declining more than 3% year-over-year or median price breaking below $410,000. Confidence: low. Sources:
[Le Guide loisirs et le magazine Complicité disponibles dès le 28 février - Ville de Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu](https://sjsr.ca/communiques/le-guide-loisirs-et-le-magazine-complicite-disponibles-des-le-28-fevrier/)
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)

Assumptions: Current mortgage rates remain stable near 4.0-4.3%; No major provincial housing policy changes occur before Q1 2027. What would reverse this: Sustained rise in five-year bond yields above 4.0% combined with worsening trade impacts could reduce buyer qualification and increase inventory. Sources:
[Le Guide loisirs et le magazine Complicité disponibles dès le 28 février - Ville de Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu](https://sjsr.ca/communiques/le-guide-loisirs-et-le-magazine-complicite-disponibles-des-le-28-fevrier/)
[Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market)
[OACIQ Broker Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu – CourtiConnect](https://courticonnect.ca/en/broker-saint-jean-sur-richelieu)

## Sources

- [Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu Housing Market Report: Aug. 7th, 2026 Update | Interactive Map - WOWA.ca](https://wowa.ca/mtl/saint-jean-sur-richelieu-housing-market): Source reference date 7 August 2026 (observation period not stated). Scope: city, Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, QC.
- [OACIQ Broker Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu – CourtiConnect](https://courticonnect.ca/en/broker-saint-jean-sur-richelieu): Source reference date 20 September 2026 (observation period not stated). Scope: city, Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, QC.
- [Le Guide loisirs et le magazine Complicité disponibles dès le 28 février - Ville de Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu](https://sjsr.ca/communiques/le-guide-loisirs-et-le-magazine-complicite-disponibles-des-le-28-fevrier/): date unavailable. Scope: city.

Prepared by Aurynge with AI-assisted research and writing. See /methodology for the evidence and publication policy.
