# Bathurst Housing Market: Two Sales in September 2026 Signal Extreme Illiquidity Bathurst recorded only two home sales in September 2026 against 92 active listings. This extreme illiquidity complicates price interpretation despite a reported 53.7% year-over-year average sale price drop. Published 2026-10-11. Evidence snapshot 2026-10-11. ## Market summary Bathurst recorded only two home sales in September 2026 against 92 active listings. This extreme illiquidity complicates price interpretation despite a reported 53.7% year-over-year average sale price drop. ## Central finding Bathurst's September 2026 housing market shows a severe liquidity constraint with only two home sales against 92 active listings, creating an unstable basis for price assessment despite a reported 53.7% year-over-year average sale price decline. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## How the numbers connect The absorption rate is approximately 2.2%. Calculation: 2 homes sold / 92 active listings Definitions: Sales Volume and Active Listings for Bathurst, NB, September 2026. Limit: Cannot establish market direction or price stability due to the extremely small denominator of two sales. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Extreme Illiquidity Defines Bathurst's September 2026 Market Bathurst recorded only two home sales in September 2026, a figure that renders standard market metrics unreliable. With 92 active listings and zero new listings added during the same period, the market exhibits a profound lack of transactional activity. This imbalance creates a static environment where buyers face abundant choice but sellers encounter almost no demand. The absence of new listings suggests that existing inventory is aging without replacement, potentially leading to prolonged time on market. For a knowledgeable realtor, this signals that pricing strategies must account for the near-total absence of competitive bidding. The market is effectively frozen, with the few transactions occurring likely driven by unique circumstances rather than broad-based demand. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Price Decline Contextualized by Minimal Sample Size The average sale price in Bathurst fell 53.7% year-over-year to $164,450 in September 2026. However, this percentage change is based on only two completed sales, making it highly susceptible to outlier effects. A single low-priced transaction can drastically skew the average, meaning this figure does not necessarily reflect a broad-based collapse in property values across the city. Interpreting this price drop requires caution because the median sale price also stands at $164,450, identical to the average. This coincidence further underscores the statistical fragility of the data. Until transaction volumes increase to a more representative level, these price indicators should be viewed as anecdotal rather than indicative of a sustained downward trend in Bathurst's housing market. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Next 3 months, 2026-12-31 Prices: flat. flat Why: Two sales in one month is statistically insufficient to determine trend. Buyers: wait. Negotiating power is high due to 92 active listings and zero new listings. Sellers: wait. Selling is nearly impossible with only two transactions per month. Watch: Monthly sales volume rising above 10 units. Confidence: low. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Next 6 months, 2027-03-31 Prices: flat. flat Why: Inventory remains high relative to sales velocity. Buyers: either way. Prices may stabilize as the sample size grows. Sellers: wait. Market conditions remain unfavorable for sellers. Watch: Average sale price stabilizing within 5% of current levels. Confidence: low. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Next 12 months, 2027-09-30 Prices: falling. falling Why: Future supply from HAF permits may begin to impact the market. Buyers: wait. Potential for increased competition from new builds. Sellers: wait. New supply will likely suppress prices further. Watch: Completion of HAF-permitted units entering the active listing pool. Confidence: low. Assumptions: Current low transaction volume persists through Q4 2026; Newly permitted units do not enter the market before early 2027. What would reverse this: A sudden increase in buyer demand or a large batch of new listings would invalidate the illiquidity assumption. Sources: [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market) ## Sources - [Bathurst Housing Market Report | September 2026 Trends & Stats | Ovlix.com](https://www.ovlix.com/for-sale/New-Brunswick/Bathurst/market): Observation reference period: 30 September 2026. Scope: city, Bathurst, NB. Prepared by Aurynge with AI-assisted research and writing. See /methodology for the evidence and publication policy.